For the person in search
of a new fad, there is good news: though a given fad might come
and go, fads in general are here to stay. We live in a trendy
society. People love the new, cringe at the old. In part, says
Richard Johnson, author of AMERICAN FADS, “It’s just
plain curiosity, a much underrated human drive.” There’s
probably also an economic benefit to having things go in and
out of fashion. In a consumer society, says Jack Santino, who
is assistant professor of popular culture at the Bowling Green
State University, “You need the old, so that people will
look to buy the new.”
Fads hit every field.
Just look around the stores – or the closets. There are
fads in clothing. Remember hot pants? Go-go boots? Bell bottoms?
One of the new fashion fads is old clothes. “I saw movie
stars wearing them,” says entrepreneur Mark Werts, who
was inspired to make hand-me-downs available to the general public.
Last year, he sold more than $1 million in “antique clothing” at
his San Francisco store, American Rag
Cie. There are fads in foods, too. Fondue had its day. In Toronto, one
company had success importing chocolate-covered honeybees. A newspaperman
trying to lose weight touched off a fad when he wrote about a chocolaty
low-cal drink. In 1984, a million cans of Diet Chocolate Fudge soda were
sold; this year manufacturer A.J. Canfield expects to sell 200 million. “This
is the American dream,” says Alan B. Canfield, senior VP.
Often, a fad seems
to sweep unexpectedly through the marketplace. But that’s
misleading. A fad isn’t something consumers just discover.
Behind most successful fads there’s a shrewd promoter.
Edward Bernays, 93, considered dean of the public relations profession – one
of his clients was Thomas Edison – brags that he was the
promoter behind the soap whittling fad of years ago. Why? One
of his accounts was Ivory.
“The product
is only 10 percent of the game,” says entrepreneur E. Joseph
Cossman. “The rest is how you promote it.” To promote
his spud gun – which uses potato pellets as ammo – Cossman
filled an entire room at the New York Toy Show with potatoes
donated by farmers inundated with a bumper crop. Then he recruited
a bunch of kids and turned them loose with spud guns. A spud
war broke out, and Cossman sold more than a million guns. Another
time, Cossman promoted his ant farm by paying stores near the
toy show to display the product. A lingerie store even put the
ant farm between two brassieres. Cossman has sold more than three
million ant farms.
The Cabbage Patch Kid
rage wasn’t simply a spontaneous vote by consumers either.
Xavier Roberts, the 30-year old creator of the dolls, came up
with the idea of giving each one a unique identity – and
a birth certificate and set of adoption papers drawn from real
birth records. Coleco, which had once marketed another fad, Davy
Crockett moccasin kits, then held nationwide focus groups to
figure out how to position the product. (It learned, for instance,
that boys and adults should be part of its ad campaign.) It also
hired child psychologists who provided testimony that the homely
toys were healthy playthings. At a time when flashy, electronic
toys were supposed to be the rage, Coleco sold out all 2.5 million
of its 1983 stock in one season, more than any previous doll
in history.
Even the Pet Rock didn’t
just take off by itself. Dahl peddled it not only to Neiman Marcus,
but also to NEWSWEEK, which gave it half a page.
We are all potential
entrants in the fads game. What separates the winners from the
losers? More than intelligence or cleverness, it’s probably
another quality that makes all the difference: persistence. “Chances
are that sometime during your life you have thought up some unusual
product or service – only to discard the possibility because
somebody told you it wouldn’t work,” says Robert
Shook, author of WHY DIDN’T I
THINK OF THAT? Most of us don’t let ourselves get carried away.
We continue on in our respectable lives. It’s the new courageous
entrepreneurs who go ahead and mortgage the house or the car because
they’ve got a hunk of rubber or a new board game that is so neat
they know they just can’t lose. “Behind most fads there is
an entrepreneur,” says Richard Johnson. Trivial Pursuit, which
has become a staple in every baby-boomer’s home, is one example.
The idea for the game was worked out by two brothers and a friend in
about 45 minutes one Saturday afternoon over a few beers. To sell the
idea to a distributor in the United States took two gut-wrenching years
during which one of the brothers collapsed from stress. Parker Brothers
returned the game unopened. A Milton
Bradley executive wasn’t interested. Finally, the game was licensed
to Selchow & Righter in one of the company’s shrewdest moves
since its big hit, Scrabble. The game brought in $750 million in 1984
in retail sales, almost entirely in North America. By 1985 Trivial Pursuit
was available in 14 foreign languages, worth another $90 million in retail
sales. At the end of this year it will be on sale in 28 countries, including
mainland China.
Burt Rubin is another entrepreneur who risked everything for a fad. And
Rubin had a lot to risk. In 1971 at age 25, he and a partner started
to sell extra-wide cigarette rolling papers, especially suited for smoking
marijuana. In 1980, the company, E-Z Wider, was sold for $6.2 million,
and Rubin took up horseback riding and art collecting. He also read voraciously.
One day he came across a report on the “comet mania” created
when Halley’s comet passed earth 76 years ago. Among other products,
telescope sales had boomed. It didn’t take much more prodding.
Rubin invested most of his savings in a telescope company. “I guess
it’s just the entrepreneurial spirit,” he says. So far, he
has sold 35,000 Halleyscopes, and he’s right about the comet fad.
More than 80 companies are marketing comet-related products and services,
including a game called “Pin the Tail on the Comet,” Comet
Rock Candy, and comet-watching trips to sites like Australia.
The real challenge
for fad entrepreneurs is to translate momentary success into
sustained earnings. The opportunity exists not only to make a
fortune, but to lose one.
Dahl remembers that at the height of the Pet Rock fad he was in debt
for hundreds of
thousands of dollars. Had anything gone wrong, he would have gone bust.
Rubin still has to sell 15,000 more telescopes before he breaks even.
Even Slinky, that tried and true American fad, almost died. Early success
went to inventor Richard James’ head. In quick succession, his
attention turned to drinking, other women, and religion. In 1960, when
he left for missionary work in Bolivia, James Industries had just six
people on the payroll – down from 125. It was James’ wife,
Betty, who counted on relatives to help care for the children while she
rebuilt the company. Today, the business is still growing.
Last year’s sales were 25 percent higher than the year before,
reports Betty James. Another giant fad that never did yield much money
to its creator was the Mood Stone ring. Joshua Reynolds, its inventor,
traveled the country telling how his ring changes color to reveal the
mood of its wearer. Publicist Valerie Jennings gave samples to
Muhammad Ali, Joe Namath, and Cher. “I had $5 million of orders
the first month,”
says Reynolds. Unfortunately, Reynolds didn’t anticipate that competitors
would lure away his suppliers by paying them more. Mood Stones grossed
about $250 million. There was mood clothing, mood nail polish, even mood
panties. But Reynolds’ company took in $3 million, and very little
was profit. Jennings, for one, was never paid.
Are there more mood
rings out there? Are ever-more sophisticated consumers really
going to fall for more rocks or dolls or coils of wire? Of course.
There are plenty of silly ideas that the consumer is waiting
to go nuts over. A couple of Canadians sitting around a bar asked
themselves, what do we like to do? Drink beer and lift weights,
was the reply. They developed a beer mug that doubles as a weight,
so you can exercise your biceps as you imbibe; 30,000 sold in
Canada. Another guy read reports that a particular shade of pink
had calming effects. He printed 5,000 posters – no design,
no drawing, just the color. They all sold. Rubin, who’s
still riding the Halley’s comet fad, confides he has already
started to think about the next big fad. Just imagine, he says,
1992. 1992?
That’s the 500th anniversary of the discovery of America. “It
will be bigger than the bicentennial,” says this energetic entrepreneur. “And
that means a chance for a lot of people to make a lot of money.”
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Karaoke
Nation, or How I Spent a Year in Search of Glamour, Fulfillment
and a Million Dollars.
by Steve Fishman
Lately,
I noticed, people looked at businesspeople of all ages
and saw an imagination at work. "Who would quarrel
with the idea that ideas themselves are the most powerful
currency in the new world of business?" asked one
business writer. "Ideas Rule!" trumpeted the
cover of one magazine, adding, if they spread. In the
world of business, the new one, inventiveness was in.
There was some evidence that people were, in fact, coming up with
more ideas than ever. During the Eighties, there'd been a total
of 1.2 million patent applications in the United States. By the
end of the Nineties that figure had reached 2 million. And the
annual rate seemed to be racing. In 2001, there were more than
twice as many patent applications as in 1991. Edison suspected
that the major inventions had all been proposed during his lifetime.
But by 2001, there was a patent application filed, on average,
every other minute twenty-four-hours-a-day every day of the year.
Never had so many believed that a germ of invention resided within
each person.
The U.S. Patent Office, a good sport, appeared to accommodate those
who wanted to get in the ideas game. Not long ago, applicants were
required to demonstrate a "flash of genius," which proved
an unfortunate brake on inventiveness. More recently, "useful" and "non-obvious" had
become the standards of patentability. (Though perhaps, really,
the most meaningful standard was persistence since, according to
one study, more than 90 percent of all applications eventually
become patents.) The new standards opened up the field. Indeed
it could seem as if people whose creative outlet was once, say,
detailing their minivans, now rushed to the Patent Office with
homegrown innovations like: "landing lights on a toilet seat" for
those inconvenient middle-of-the night put-downs, helium-filled
furniture that could be stored out of the way, i.e., floating near
the ceiling, and, a personal favorite, a prosthetic arm which allowed
the lonely sports fan to give himself a "high-five." Kids,
too, got in the act. One five-year-old received a patent for inventing
a new "method of swinging on a swing" -the side-to-side
method earned patent 6,368,227.
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